Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000747 0.000854 0.000967 0.001096 0.001237 0.001387 0.001559
2025-01-12 0.000569 0.000715 0.000880 0.001080 0.001313 0.001576 0.001893
2025-01-19 0.000471 0.000631 0.000821 0.001060 0.001351 0.001690 0.002112
2025-01-26 0.000415 0.000588 0.000803 0.001083 0.001435 0.001856 0.002392
2025-02-02 0.000371 0.000553 0.000787 0.001102 0.001508 0.002005 0.002653
2025-02-09 0.000320 0.000503 0.000746 0.001084 0.001530 0.002090 0.002833
2025-02-16 0.000277 0.000457 0.000706 0.001061 0.001543 0.002159 0.002993
2025-02-23 0.000251 0.000434 0.000693 0.001074 0.001600 0.002285 0.003226
2025-03-02 0.000228 0.000411 0.000679 0.001081 0.001649 0.002400 0.003446
2025-03-09 0.000197 0.000373 0.000640 0.001051 0.001643 0.002441 0.003567
2025-03-16 0.000170 0.000339 0.000603 0.001020 0.001633 0.002474 0.003678
2025-03-23 0.000153 0.000319 0.000586 0.001017 0.001663 0.002561 0.003862
2025-03-30 0.000138 0.000301 0.000571 0.001017 0.001696 0.002654 0.004059
2025-04-06 0.000122 0.000280 0.000549 0.001004 0.001712 0.002722 0.004222
2025-04-13 0.000107 0.000258 0.000524 0.000985 0.001714 0.002772 0.004359
2025-04-20 0.000101 0.000252 0.000525 0.001007 0.001780 0.002913 0.004628
2025-04-27 0.000094 0.000245 0.000524 0.001024 0.001839 0.003044 0.004885
2025-05-04 0.000083 0.000227 0.000502 0.001007 0.001842 0.003094 0.005026
2025-05-11 0.000072 0.000209 0.000479 0.000986 0.001838 0.003132 0.005148
2025-05-18 0.000067 0.000202 0.000476 0.000998 0.001887 0.003250 0.005389
2025-05-25 0.000062 0.000194 0.000470 0.001005 0.001928 0.003356 0.005616
2025-06-01 0.000053 0.000178 0.000445 0.000976 0.001908 0.003369 0.005703
2025-06-08 0.000045 0.000162 0.000421 0.000947 0.001886 0.003377 0.005781